张鸿洋, 胡春宏, 高宇, et al. Spatial source analysis of flood events in middle and lower Yangtze River after Three Gorges dam construction[J]. Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering, 2026, 45(8).
DOI:
张鸿洋, 胡春宏, 高宇, et al. Spatial source analysis of flood events in middle and lower Yangtze River after Three Gorges dam construction[J]. Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering, 2026, 45(8).DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20260801.
Spatial source analysis of flood events in middle and lower Yangtze River after Three Gorges dam construction
Scientific identification of the spatial sources of mainstream flood events in the middle and lower Yangtze River basin is of great significance to the design of a regional flood control strategy and its engineering application. This study uses an improved method of principal component analysis (PCA) to screen significant flood fluctuation samples
based on the 2003-2022 daily average discharge series from this basin’s mainstream and major tributaries. Major flood events are determined using warning water levels
through combining a three-zone Flood Combination Index (FCI)
high-FCI years
and primary discharge combination patterns for different zones. The results indicate that the improved PCA extracts discharge fluctuating characteristics effectively
and significant samples with the first principal component (PC1) score above the threshold 1.36 are in good agreement with the real cases in the high range of flow discharge. Inter-annual variations occur in the distribution of consecutive significant-sample periods. In 2021
significant flood periods occurred quite late under the influence of autumn floods from the Han River
while in 2022
early-season inflow impacts were evident due to a "dry flood season". The year of 2020 was marked by typical basin-wide flood events