Jingshu Wang, Liyuan Zhao, Junhua Gu, et al. A Multiscale Lightweight Deep Learning Approach for Short-Term Multi-Energy Load Forecasting in Integrated Energy Systems[J]. IET Energy Systems Integration, 2026, 8(1).
DOI:
Jingshu Wang, Liyuan Zhao, Junhua Gu, et al. A Multiscale Lightweight Deep Learning Approach for Short-Term Multi-Energy Load Forecasting in Integrated Energy Systems[J]. IET Energy Systems Integration, 2026, 8(1).DOI: 10.1049/esi2.70048.
A Multiscale Lightweight Deep Learning Approach for Short-Term Multi-Energy Load Forecasting in Integrated Energy Systems
摘要
Abstract
Accurate multi-energy load forecasting plays a vital role in the optimal scheduling of integrated energy systems (IES). However
existing forecasting methods face two major challenges: insufficient extraction of complex features within load data
which limits prediction accuracy
and ever-increasing model complexity
which leads to a sharp rise in computational resource demands. To tackle the above-mentioned challenges
this research introduces a load forecasting scheme derived from multiscale lightweight deep learning. First
the dynamic coupling characteristics of load data are analysed using correlation coefficients to determine model-specific input configurations. Then
an improved variant channel multiscale bottleneck residual network (VC-MBResNet) is proposed to obtain high-dimensional load feature data. Finally
by leveraging shared underlying parameters and an enhanced adaptive loss function for each subtask-using both soft and hard weight-sharing strategies—the extracted features are integrated into a multi-task learning (MTL) framework. A bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) network is employed as the shared layer
with an attention mechanism embedded in its hidden layers to enhance the focus on critical temporal features. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach surpasses existing models in terms of both prediction accuracy and computational efficiency.