Libing Wang, Ya Wen, Yun Zhang. The impact of EU carbon border adjustment mechanism on China’s export and its countermeasures[J]. Global energy interconnection, 2025, 8(2).
DOI:
Libing Wang, Ya Wen, Yun Zhang. The impact of EU carbon border adjustment mechanism on China’s export and its countermeasures[J]. Global energy interconnection, 2025, 8(2). DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2024.11.017.
The impact of EU carbon border adjustment mechanism on China’s export and its countermeasures
This study analyzes the potential impact of EU carbon border regulation mechanism (CBAM) on the export of China’s carbonintensive products.First
we summarized the main content of the CBAM.Next
based on the input-output theory
this study proposes a calculation model for the implicit carbon emissions and indirect carbon emissions from electricity consumption in export products and presents the corresponding calculation results.Based on the scenario analysis method
six carbon tariffscenarios were designed to evaluate the impact of the CBAM on the major export sectors under each scenario.The results showed that in 2021
the implicit carbon emissions in all products exported to Europe from China were approximately 375 million tons
of which the indirect carbon emissions from electricity were approximately 41.8 million tons
accounting for more than 10%.According to the current levy plan
China is expected to be subject to carbon tariffs of approximately USD 1.4 billion
accounting for 0.3% of its total export value to Europe in 2021.Finally
to reduce the adverse effects of CBAM
four measures were proposed from the perspective of the power industry.