Ning Zhou, Bowen Shang, Mingming Xu, et al. Enhancing photovoltaic power prediction using a CNN-LSTM-attention hybrid model with Bayesian hyperparameter optimization[J]. Global Energy Interconnection, 2024, 7(5): 667-681.
DOI:
Ning Zhou, Bowen Shang, Mingming Xu, et al. Enhancing photovoltaic power prediction using a CNN-LSTM-attention hybrid model with Bayesian hyperparameter optimization[J]. Global Energy Interconnection, 2024, 7(5): 667-681.DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2024.10.005.
Enhancing photovoltaic power prediction using a CNN-LSTM-attention hybrid model with Bayesian hyperparameter optimization
Improving the accuracy of solar power forecasting is crucial to ensure grid stability
optimize solar power plant operations
and enhance grid dispatch efficiency. Although hybrid neural network models can effectively address the complexities of environmental data and power prediction uncertainties
challenges such as labor-intensive parameter adjustments and complex optimization processes persist. Thus
this study proposed a novel approach for solar power prediction using a hybrid model (CNN-LSTM-attention) that combines a convolutional neural network (CNN)
long short- term memory (LSTM)
and attention mechanisms. The model incorporates Bayesian optimization to refine the parameters and enhance the prediction accuracy. To prepare high-quality training data
the solar power data were first preprocessed
including feature selection
data cleaning
imputation
and smoothing. The processed data were then used to train a hybrid model based on the CNN-LSTM-attention architecture
followed by hyperparameter optimization employing Bayesian methods. The experimental results indicated that within acceptable model training times
the CNN-LSTM-attention model outperformed the LSTM
GRU
CNN-LSTM
CNN-LSTM with autoencoders
and parallel CNN-LSTM attention models. Furthermore
following Bayesian optimization
the optimized model demonstrated significantly reduced prediction errors during periods of data volatility compared to the original model
as evidenced by MRE evaluations. This highlights the clear advantage of the optimized model in forecasting fluctuating data.
Two-stage photovoltaic power forecasting method with an optimized transformer
Bayesian optimized support vector regression with a Gaussian kernel for accurate prediction of the state of health of lithium-ion batteries used for electric vehicle applications
Negative electricity prices in electricity markets: causes, impacts,and response strategies
Momentum vectorized adaptive DDPG-based PSC mitigator design for hybrid PV-TEG systems with auxiliary battery participation
Multi-scenario coordinated operation strategy of battery-hydrogen hybrid energy storage system for pure photovoltaic VSC-HVDC converter station
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Related Institution
State Grid Gansu Electric Power Company
School of Electrical & Information Engineering, Lanzhou University of Technology
School of Computer & Communication, Lanzhou University of Technology
Department of Electrical Engineering, U.V.Patel College of Engineering, Ganpat University, Kherva