Prediction and Diagnosis Method for Insulation Failure of Transformer

Deng Peng

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Prediction and Diagnosis Method for Insulation Failure of Transformer

更新时间：2025-11-18

- Prediction and Diagnosis Method for Insulation Failure of Transformer
- Issue 4, Pages: 4-6(2006)
- 作者机构：
  
  德阳电业局,四川,德阳,618000
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
  CLC： TM407
- Published：2006
- 稿件说明：
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[1]邓鹏.变压器绝缘故障预测诊断的方法[J].四川电力技术,2006(04):4-6.

Deng Peng. Prediction and Diagnosis Method for Insulation Failure of Transformer[J]. 2006, (4): 4-6.
[1]邓鹏.变压器绝缘故障预测诊断的方法[J].四川电力技术,2006(04):4-6. DOI：

Deng Peng. Prediction and Diagnosis Method for Insulation Failure of Transformer[J]. 2006, (4): 4-6. DOI：

摘要

根据灰色系统理论

把电力变压器油中溶解气体含量视为灰色量

利用有限的故障数据

按照灰色预测的方法

对数值进行初值化和一次累加生成等处理

建立灰色预测模型群即GM（1

1）模型

对电力变压器运行时间内的状态进行精密诊断和故障预报。

Abstract

According to grey system theory

the content of dissolved gas in power transformer oil is regarded as grey value.Then using limited failure data and base on grey prediction method

the data are processed by initialization and the first accumulated generation operation

then grey prediction model groups

e. GM（1

1）

are established to give the accurate diagnosis and failure prediction for the condition of power transformer in the operation time.

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