Optimization method for flexible scheduling of digital twin industrial loads based on load side potential elasticity
|更新时间:2026-10-15
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Optimization method for flexible scheduling of digital twin industrial loads based on load side potential elasticity
Vol. 63, Issue 10, (2026)
作者机构:
1. 云南电网有限责任公司,昆明,650000
2. 南方电网能源发展研究院有限责任公司
作者简介:
基金信息:
DOI:
CLC:
Published:2026
稿件说明:
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Liu Juan, Zhao Shuang, Li Yan, et al. Optimization method for flexible scheduling of digital twin industrial loads based on load side potential elasticity[J]. 2026, 63(10).
DOI:
Liu Juan, Zhao Shuang, Li Yan, et al. Optimization method for flexible scheduling of digital twin industrial loads based on load side potential elasticity[J]. 2026, 63(10).DOI:
Optimization method for flexible scheduling of digital twin industrial loads based on load side potential elasticity
工业生产过程中各环节高度相互依赖,不同类型的工业负荷(如连续生产、间歇生产、季节性生产等)具有不同的运行特性和柔性潜力。由于工业负荷的多样性和复杂性,传统调度方法难以有效应对供应侧的波动,导致负荷柔性调度面临挑战。为解决这一问题,提出一种基于负荷侧潜力弹性的数字孪生工业负荷柔性调度优化方法。通过数字孪生技术构建工业负荷的虚拟模型,实现物理系统与虚拟模型之间的实时映射与交互,从而精准监控和预测负荷状态。结合负荷侧潜力弹性理论,分析工业系统中各子系统的柔性潜力,制定灵活的调度策略,以缓解供需矛盾并应对供应侧波动。实验结果表明,所提出的方法能够有效预测负荷关键影响因素的偏移量,在停电次数为15次的情况下,系统平均停电持续时间(system average interruption duration index,SAIDI)降至5.4分钟,预测准确率达到0.95,验证了该方法的实用性和有效性。
Abstract
In the industrial production process
each link is highly interdependent
and different types of industrial loads (such as continuous production
intermittent production
seasonal production
etc.) have different operating characteristics and flexibility potential. Due to the diversity and complexity of industrial loads
traditional scheduling methods are difficult to effectively cope with supply side fluctuations
leading to challenges in flexible load scheduling. To address this issue
a digital twin industrial load flexible scheduling optimization method based on load side potential elasticity is proposed. A virtual model of industrial load is constructed through digital twin technology to achieve real-time mapping and interaction between physical systems and virtual models
thereby accurately monitoring and predicting load status. Based on the theory of load side potential elasticity
analyze the flexibility potential of each sub-system in the industrial system
and develop flexible scheduling strategies to alleviate supply-demand contradictions and cope with supply side fluctuations. The experimental results show that the proposed method can effectively predict the offset of key load influencing factors. With 15 power outages
the system average interruption duration index(SAIDI) drops to 5.4 minutes
and the prediction accuracy reaches 0.95
verifying the practicality and effectiveness of the method.