Forecasting of landslide displacement based on exponential smoothing and nonlinear regression analysis

YIN Guang-zhi; ZHANG Wei-zhong; ZHANG Dong-ming; KANG Qin-rong

English Version Journal Login

您当前的位置：

首页 >

文章列表页 >

Forecasting of landslide displacement based on exponential smoothing and nonlinear regression analysis

更新时间：2026-06-25

- Forecasting of landslide displacement based on exponential smoothing and nonlinear regression analysis
- Vol. 28, Issue 8, (2007)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 重庆大学资源及环境科学学院,重庆,400044
  2. 中南财经政法大学安全科学与管理学院,武汉,430074
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
  CLC： TU459
- Online First：15 October 2013，
  
  Published：2007
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
YIN Guang-zhi, ZHANG Wei-zhong, ZHANG Dong-ming, et al. Forecasting of landslide displacement based on exponential smoothing and nonlinear regression analysis[J]. 2007, 28(8).
DOI：

YIN Guang-zhi, ZHANG Wei-zhong, ZHANG Dong-ming, et al. Forecasting of landslide displacement based on exponential smoothing and nonlinear regression analysis[J]. 2007, 28(8). DOI：

摘要

滑坡时间预报研究是滑坡研究中的一个热门课题。以实际监测数据为基础，把指数平滑法与非线性回归分析法结合起来；以滑坡的变形值和变形速率为判据，对滑坡进行时间失稳的动态跟踪预报。根据某滑坡的实际情况，对部分监测点位移进行了建模和预测，预测结果表明，该方法具有较高的精度，可以应用于实际工程。

Abstract

The landslide forecasting study is one of the hot problems in landslide research. Based on the actual observation data

the exponential smoothing and nonlinear regression analysis are integrated. According to the criterions of displacement and displacement velocity

the dynamic track prediction about the slippage time of landslide is introduced. In light of the pratical landslide conditions

a model was established for the special displacement of some observation points; and the prediction based on this model was obtained with high accuracy. Therefore

the method can be used in practical engineering.

关键词

Keywords

references

Views

2212

下载量

CSCD

Alert me when the article has been cited

提交

Tools

Publicity Resources

Strength development model for slurry-like mud treated by physicochemical combined method considering preloading stress

Comparative theoretical and experimental analysis of rock breaking by tunnel boring machine disc cutters

Physical-mechanical properties and durability analysis of foamed lightweight soil based on excavated soil and fly ash

Experimental study on the definition and evolution characteristics of unfrozen water retention states in frozen clay

Optimal design of lining structure in artificial cavern of compressed air energy storage

Related Author

No data

Related Institution

No data

AI问答

⁰