Day⁃ahead prediction of V2G power capacity based on distribution Internet of Things technology and parallel random forest algorithm
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Day⁃ahead prediction of V2G power capacity based on distribution Internet of Things technology and parallel random forest algorithm
Vol. 22, Issue 4, (2020)
作者机构:
1. 南瑞集团(国网电力科学研究院)有限公司,南京,211100
2. 国网福建省电力有限公司 福州供电公司,福州,350000
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Published:2020
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岳 友, 李宽宏. Day⁃ahead prediction of V2G power capacity based on distribution Internet of Things technology and parallel random forest algorithm[J]. 2020, 22(4).
DOI:
岳 友, 李宽宏. Day⁃ahead prediction of V2G power capacity based on distribution Internet of Things technology and parallel random forest algorithm[J]. 2020, 22(4).DOI:
Day⁃ahead prediction of V2G power capacity based on distribution Internet of Things technology and parallel random forest algorithm
Accurate and fast prediction of V2G power capacity is the key to realize the energy storage of aggregated batteries of electric vehicles(EVs)as a buffer for power grid and renewable energy. However
the randomness and uncertainty of charging and discharging behavior of electric vehicles make it difficult to predict V2G power accurately. With the development of the Internet of Things(IOT)and the large-scale access of electric vehicles
the charging and discharging data of electric vehicles have increased explosively
which provides a large amount of data support for the accurate V2G power capacity
but also brings large data processing problems. A parallel prediction model of V2G power capacity is established based on the parallel random forest algorithm by using a large amount of historical and meteorological data to construct the prediction feature vector. Thus
the influence of user behavior on prediction results is avoided. In addition
a distributed big data platform based on Spark is built to realize rapid prediction of V2G power capacity. Finally
the proposed method is compared with SVM algorithm which is used in predicting V2G power capacity on traditional stand-alone platform. The experimental results show that using the parallel random forest algorithm is not only 1.75% more accurate than using the traditional SVM