Multi-objective Water Operation Practices during the 2024—2025 Dry Season and Future End-of-flood-season Storage Analysis for the Beijiang River Basin

WU Qihui; FENG Juntao; XIE Biao; LING Gang

doi:null

English Version Reader LoginJournal Login

您当前的位置：

首页 >

文章列表页 >

Multi-objective Water Operation Practices during the 2024—2025 Dry Season and Future End-of-flood-season Storage Analysis for the Beijiang River Basin

更新时间：2026-02-25

- Multi-objective Water Operation Practices during the 2024—2025 Dry Season and Future End-of-flood-season Storage Analysis for the Beijiang River Basin
- PEARL RIVER Pages: 1-13(2026)
- 作者机构：
  
  广东省北江流域管理局，广东佛山 528100
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
  CLC：
- Revised：2025-12-16，
  
  Accepted：22 December 2025，
  
  Online First：25 February 2026，
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
吴奇辉，冯军涛，谢彪等.北江流域2024—2025年枯水期多目标水量调度实践与未来汛末蓄水分析［J］.人民珠江，DOI：10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.XXXX.XX.001.

WU Qihui,FENG Juntao,XIE Biao,et al.Multi-objective Water Operation Practices during the 2024—2025 Dry Season and Future End-of-flood-season Storage Analysis for the Beijiang River Basin[J].PEARL RIVER,
吴奇辉，冯军涛，谢彪等.北江流域2024—2025年枯水期多目标水量调度实践与未来汛末蓄水分析［J］.人民珠江，DOI：10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.XXXX.XX.001. DOI：

WU Qihui,FENG Juntao,XIE Biao,et al.Multi-objective Water Operation Practices during the 2024—2025 Dry Season and Future End-of-flood-season Storage Analysis for the Beijiang River Basin[J].PEARL RIVER, DOI：10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235...001.

摘要

面对气候变化背景下极端干旱事件频发与水资源竞争性利用加剧的严峻挑战，开展枯水期精细化水量调度研究，对保障流域供水安全、生态完整性与航运通畅具有重大现实意义。本次研究以珠江流域北江段为对象，基于2024—2025年极端干旱枯水期的实测资料与调度实践，系统开展了以日均与月均流量达标、压咸补淡和航运保障为核心的多目标调度研究，并基于用水需求反推汛末水库需蓄水量，明确蓄水目标。研究表明：石角断面生态基流（211 m³/s）可通过控制飞来峡水利枢纽出库流量不低于220 m³/s实现保障，区间来水较丰时可动态减少出库以节约水量；月均流量达标（250 m³/s）宜采取“初期保守、后期调节”策略，避免提早加大下泄导致后期调度能力下降；压咸补淡调度应结合天文大潮与节假日提前研判，协同上游水库补水；航运保障需维持飞来峡水位不低于23 m，并通过“上补、中调、下蓄”策略与白石窑水库的洪水波调控有效疏航。基于极端枯水情景下的水量平衡分析，反算得出流域内9宗骨干水库汛末需蓄可调水量不低于11.11亿m³，结合实际调度需求和历史运行数据，确定汛末可调水量蓄水目标为11.20亿m³，可保障多目标调度任务的实现。

Abstract

Facing the severe challenges posed by the frequent occurrence of extreme drought events and the intensified competitive utilization of water resources in the context of climate change

conducting research on refined water quantity dispatch during the dry season is of great practical significance for ensuring water supply safety

ecological integrity

and smooth navigation in the basin. This study focuses on the Beijiang section of the Pearl River basin

based on the measured data and dispatch practices during the extreme drought and dry season of 2024-2025. It systematically conducts multi-objective dispatch research centered on meeting daily and monthly average flow standards

reducing saltwater and supplementing freshwater

and ensuring navigation safety. Based on water demand

the required water storage capacity of reservoirs at the end of the flood season is inversely calculated to clarify the water storage target. The research indicates that the ecological base flow (211 m³/s) at the Shijiao section can be ensured by controlling the outflow from the Feilaixia Water Control Project to be no less than 220 m³/s

and dynamically reducing outflow during periods of abundant inflow to conserve water. For meeting monthly average flow standards (250 m³/s)

a strategy of "conservative initial stage

later adjustment" should be adopted to avoid early increase in discharge that may lead to reduced dispatch capacity in the later stage. The dispatch for reducing saltwater and supplementing freshwater should be planned in advance

taking into account astronomical tides and holidays

and coordinated with upstream reservoirs for water replenishment. To ensure navigation safety

the water level at Feilaixia should be maintained at no less than 23 m

and effective navigation facilitation should be achieved through the strategy of "upper replenishment

middle dispatch

and lower storage" in conjunction with flood wave regulation at Baishiyao Reservoir. Based on the water balance analysis under extreme dry conditions

it is inversely calculated that the adjustable water storage capacity required at the end of the flood season for the nine key reservoirs in the basin is no less than 1.111 billion m³. Considering actual dispatch needs and historical operation data

the adjustable water storage target at the end of the flood season is set at 1.120 billion m³

which can ensure the achievement of multi-objective dispatch tasks.

关键词

Keywords

references

JIANG Y . China’s water security： current status， emerging challenges and future prospects ［J］. Environmental Science & Policy ， 2015 ， 54 ： 106 - 125 .

LIU M ， ZHOU X ， HUANG G ， et al . The increasing water stress projected for China could shift the agriculture and manufacturing industry geographically ［J］. Communications Earth & Environment ， 2024 ， 5 （ 1 ）： 396 .

WANG Z ， DAI R ， WANG W ， et al . Many-objective optimization scheduling of cascade reservoirs in small watersheds based on an evolutionary multitasking framework ［J］. Scientific Reports ， 2025 ， 15 ： 20523 .

LI Q ， ZHOU H ， SHIRZAD A . Utilization of a bioinspired algorithm for optimum reservoir operation in an altering climate a case study of China ［J］. Scientific Reports ， 2025 ， 15 ： 27875 .

HUANG E ， ZHU G ， MENG G ， et al . Historical dataset of reservoir construction in arid regions ［J］. Scientific Data ， 2025 ， 12 ： 1428 .

ZHAO J ， WANG Z ， WANG D ， et al . Evaluation of economic and hydrologic impacts of unified water flow regulation in the Yellow River Basin ［J］. Water resources management ， 2009 ， 23 （ 7 ）： 1387 - 1401 .

乔西现，石国安 . 黑河水量统一调度实践与探索［J］. 人民黄河， 2006 （ 4 ）： 3 - 4 .

Qiao Xixian ， Shi Guoan . Practice and Exploration of Unified Water Operation in the Heihe River ［J］. Yellow River ， 2006 ，（ 4 ）： 3 - 4 . （in Chinese）

仲志余，刘国强，吴泽宇 . 南水北调中线工程水量调度实践及分析［J］. 南水北调与水利科技， 2018 ， 16 （ 1 ）： 95 - 99， 143 .

Zhong Zhiyu ， Liu Guoqiang ， Wu Zeyu . Analysis and Practice of Water Regulation in the Middle Route of South-to-North Water Transfer Project ［J］. South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology ， 2018 ， 16 （ 1 ）： 95 - 99， 143 . （in Chinese）

王凤恩，谢旭和 . 2022—2023年枯水期珠江流域供水保障“三道防线”调度与思考［J］. 中国防汛抗旱， 2024 ， 34 （ 2 ）： 32 - 35 .

Wang F E ， Xie X H . Operation and Reflection on the ‘Three Lines of Defense’ for Water Supply Security in the Pearl River Basin during the 2022-2023 Dry Season ［J］. China Flood & Drought Management ， 2024 ， 34 （ 2 ）： 32 - 35 . （in Chinese）

何治波 . 近20年珠江枯水期“压咸补淡”应急水量调度形势、策略与启示［J］. 中国防汛抗旱， 2024 ， 34 （ 11 ）： 6 - 10， 22 .

He Zhibo . Situation， Strategy and Enlightenment of Emergency Water Regulation of Suppressing Saltwater and Replenishing Freshwater in the Pearl River during the Dry Seasons in Recent 20 Years ［J］. China Flood & Drought Management ， 2024 ， 34 （ 11 ）： 6 - 10， 22 . （in Chinese）

李佳，曲田，朱艳军，等 . 大型梯级水电站枯水期多模式优化调度模型研究［J］. 水资源与水工程学报， 2024 ， 35 （ 1 ）： 124 - 132 .

Li Jia ， Qu Tian ， Zhu Yanjun ， et al . Multi-mode Scheduling of Large-scale Cascade Hydropower Stations in Dry Season ［J］. Journal of Water Resources & Water Engineering ， 2024 ， 35 （ 1 ）： 124 - 132 . （in Chinese）

黄荣泽 . 丰水期-枯水期梯级水电-新能源多目标优化调度［J］. 宁夏电力， 2025 （ 1 ）： 35 - 42， 72 .

Huang Rongze . Optimal Multi-objective Operation of Cascade Hydropower and Renewable Energy in Wet and Dry Seasons ［J］. Ningxia Electric Power ， 2025 ，（ 1 ）： 35 - 42， 72 . （in Chinese）

刘夏，白涛，武蕴晨，等 . 枯水期西江流域骨干水库群压咸补淡调度研究［J］. 人民珠江， 2020 ， 41 （ 5 ）： 84 - 95 .

Liu Xia ， Bai Tao ， Wu Yunchen ， et al . Study on the Dispatching of Key Reservoirs in the Xijiang River Basin for Saltwater Resistance and Freshwaer Supplement ［J］. Pearl River ， 2020 ， 41 （ 5 ）： 84 - 95 . （in Chinese）

温天福，邹鉒，游进军，等 . 基于MIKE Basin的袁河流域枯水期水库群联合供水调度研究［J/OL］. 水利水电技术（中英文）： 1 - 14 .

Wen Tianfu ， Zou Zhu ， You Jinjun ， et al . Study on Coordinated Water Supply Scheduling of Reservoir Groups during Dry Season in Yuanhe River Basin Based on MIKE Basin Model ［J/OL］. Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering ： 1 - 14 . （in Chinese）

王敬 . 基于复杂适应系统的水量调度建模方法与应用［D］. 武汉：武汉大学， 2018 .

Wang Jing . Complex Adaptive Systems Approach to Simulate the Unified Water Regulation in River-Reservoir System ［D］. Wuhan ： Wuhan University ， 2018 . （in Chinese）

谌洁 . 珠江流域诸水系的形成与演变［J］. 水利发展研究， 2008 ，（ 4 ）： 75 - 76 .

Chen Jie . Formation and Evolution of River Systems in the Pearl River Basin ［J］. Water Resources Development Research ， 2008 ，（ 4 ）： 75 - 76 . （in Chinese）

李都安 . 论岭南地区水文化地域特质及其时代趋向［J］. 三峡论坛（三峡文学.理论版）， 2014 ，（ 1 ）： 28 - 32 .

Li Duan . On the Regional Characteristics and Contemporary Trends of Water Culture in the Lingnan Area ［J］. China Three Gorges Tribune ， 2014 ，（ 1 ）： 28 - 32 . （in Chinese）

曾志平，郑炎辉，周月英，等 . 1954—2020年北江流域枯季径流极值特征分析［J］. 人民珠江， 2025 ， 46 （ 2 ）： 29 - 36 .

Zeng Zhiping ， Zheng Yanhui ， Zhou Yueying ， et al . Characteristics of Extreme Runoff in Beijiang River Basin during Dry Season from 1954 to 2020 ［J］. Pearl River ， 2025 ， 46 （ 2 ）： 29 - 36 . （in Chinese）

虞云飞，阳蓉 . 水工程联合调度防御北江特大洪水实践［J］. 中国水利， 2022 ，（ 22 ）： 51 - 54 .

Yu Yunfei ， Yang Rong . Practice of Joint Regulation of Water Structures to Prevent Catastrophic Floods in the Beijiang River ［J］. China Water Resources ， 2022 ，（ 22 ）： 51 - 54 . （in Chinese）

周铭浩，李彤，林学明，等 . 北江干流及主要支流水质及其时空变化特征［J］. 水土保持通报， 2023 ， 43 （ 5 ）： 111 - 120， 127 .

Zhou Minghao ， Li Tong ， Lin Xueming ， et al . Water Quality and Spatial-temporal Variation Characteristics from Main Stream and Main Tributaries of North River ［J］. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation ， 2023 ， 43 （ 5 ）： 111 - 120， 127 . （in Chinese）

林中源，唐琦，王凤恩，等 . 特枯水年珠江流域东江三角洲压咸调度预演与策略［J］. 人民珠江， 2024 ， 45 （ 7 ）： 58 - 66 .

Lin Zhongyuan ， Tang Qi ， Wang Fengen ， et al . Simulation and Strategy of Salinity Control Scheduling in Dongjiang Delta of Pearl River Basin in Severe Drought Year ［J］. Pearl River ， 2024 ， 45 （ 7 ）： 58 - 66 . （in Chinese）

Views

下载量

CSCD

Alert me when the article has been cited

提交

Tools

Publicity Resources

Characteristics of Extreme Runoff in Beijiang River Basin during Dry Season from 1954 to 2020

Selection of Reservoir Release Location Based on Fish Induced Velocity

Spatio-Temporal Simulation of Hydrological Elements and Disaster Causes in Beijiang River Basin

The Impact of Shuangjiangkou Hydropower Station on the Joint Dispatch of Power Generation and Navigation for Downstream Cascade Reservoirs

Interference contact between final drive and walking system for tracked vehicle

Related Author

ZENG Zhiping

ZHENG Yanhui

ZHOU Yueying

GU Xihui

HE Yanhu

ZHOU Yueying

GU Xihui

HE Yanhu

Related Institution

School of Ecology, Environment and Resources, Guangdong University of Technology

School of Environmental Studies, China University of Geosciences

School of Resources and Planning, Guangzhou Xinhua University

Guangzhou Franzero Water Technology Co., Ltd.

School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology

AI问答

⁰