Short - term Load Forecasting Method Based on IPSO - BP Neural Network Considering Meteorological Cumulative Effect
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Short - term Load Forecasting Method Based on IPSO - BP Neural Network Considering Meteorological Cumulative Effect
Vol. 42, Issue 3, Pages: 1-5(2019)
作者机构:
国网四川雅安电力(集团)股份有限公司
作者简介:
基金信息:
DOI:
CLC:TM715
Published:2019
稿件说明:
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Zhang Yizhong. Short - term Load Forecasting Method Based on IPSO - BP Neural Network Considering Meteorological Cumulative Effect[J]. 2019, 42(3): 1-5.
DOI:
Zhang Yizhong. Short - term Load Forecasting Method Based on IPSO - BP Neural Network Considering Meteorological Cumulative Effect[J]. 2019, 42(3): 1-5.DOI:
Short - term Load Forecasting Method Based on IPSO - BP Neural Network Considering Meteorological Cumulative Effect
Meteorological factors are important in short - term load forecasting. Considering the cumulative effect of meteorology,similar days are selected as training samples,a BP neural network load forecasting method based on improved particle swarm optimization algorithm ( IPSO - BP) is proposed . Firstly,the meteorological factors more relevant to daily loads are determined by means of correlation analysis. On this basis,the weighted geometric distance is used to select the historical days which have a greater correlation with the predicted day as the similar day,and the IPSO - BP neural network model is trained and used in short - term load forecasting. The practical application results show that the proposed prediction model and data processing method can achieve more accurate prediction results.