Load prediction model for ultra-supercritical turbine power unit considering regenerative cycle characteristics
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Load prediction model for ultra-supercritical turbine power unit considering regenerative cycle characteristics
Thermal Power GenerationVol. 45, Issue 4, Pages: 19-27(2016)
作者机构:
华北电力大学控制与计算机工程学院
作者简介:
基金信息:
DOI:
CLC:TM621
Published:2016
稿件说明:
移动端阅览
MA Liangyu, CHENG Lei. Load prediction model for ultra-supercritical turbine power unit considering regenerative cycle characteristics[J]. Thermal power generation, 2016, 45(4): 19-27.
DOI:
MA Liangyu, CHENG Lei. Load prediction model for ultra-supercritical turbine power unit considering regenerative cycle characteristics[J]. Thermal power generation, 2016, 45(4): 19-27.DOI:
Load prediction model for ultra-supercritical turbine power unit considering regenerative cycle characteristics
摘要
以某超超临界1 000 MW机组为对象
详细分析了影响机组负荷的因素
通过合理选择模型输入参数
采用具有n阶输入时延和m阶输出反馈时延的静态误差反向传播(back propagation
BP)神经网络
建立了考虑回热循环特性的机组负荷预测模型。通过扰动仿真试验
对不同结构神经网络模型的负荷预测效果进行比较。结果表明:具有2阶输入时延、2阶输出反馈时延的模型
在各种扰动下均可精确地预测机组负荷
满足自动发电控制(AGC)条件下利用汽轮机回热循环侧可控参数提高机组负荷响应速度的要求。
Abstract
Taking an ultra supercritical 1000 MW unit as the object
the factors influencing the unit load were analyzed in detail.By reasonably selecting the model input parameters and applying a BP neural network with n-order time-delayed inputs and m-order time-delayed output feedback
the unit load prediction model which takes the regenerative cycle characteristics into account was established.Moreover
various perturbation experiments were carried out to compare the load prediction results by neural network with different structures.The results show that
the model with 2-order time delay for the inputs and 2-order time delay for output feedback can predict the unit load accurately under different perturbations
and it can meet the engineering application need for improving the unit load response speed with the controllable variables in the regenerative cycle system under automatic generation control(AGC)condition.