Load Analysis and Prediction of Integrated Energy Distribution System Based on Deep Learning
|更新时间:2025-12-08
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Load Analysis and Prediction of Integrated Energy Distribution System Based on Deep Learning
Vol. 47, Issue 1, Pages: 23-32(2021)
作者机构:
1. 天津大学智能电网教育部重点实验室
2. 武汉大学电气与自动化学院
3. 中国电力科学研究院有限公司
作者简介:
基金信息:
DOI:
CLC:
Published Online:30 January 2021,
Published:2021
稿件说明:
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LUO Fengzhang, ZHANG Xu, YANG Xin, et al. Load Analysis and Prediction of Integrated Energy Distribution System Based on Deep Learning[J]. 2021, 47(1): 23-32.
DOI:
LUO Fengzhang, ZHANG Xu, YANG Xin, et al. Load Analysis and Prediction of Integrated Energy Distribution System Based on Deep Learning[J]. 2021, 47(1): 23-32.DOI:
Load Analysis and Prediction of Integrated Energy Distribution System Based on Deep Learning
In order to support the economic dispatch and optimal operation of an integrated energy distribution system
a comprehensive forecasting method of cooling
heating
and power loads based on deep learning is proposed. Firstly
the Pearson coefficient is used to quantitatively calculate the correlation between multiple loads and analyze the correlation between loads and influencing factors. Then
the structure of deep learning model based on convolutional neural network and support vector regression is introduced. The convolutional neural network is used as a feature extractor to extract more representative hidden feature information from input data
and the support vector regression is used as a prediction model to output prediction results. Meanwhile
missing data and outlier data are preprocessed. Finally
the actual data of an integrated energy system are used to verify the effectiveness of the algorithm
and the influences of multi-load correlation on the prediction results are compared and analyzed. The results show that the RCNN-SVR model proposed in this paper has good prediction accuracy for cooling
heating
and power loads. The research results can provide references for comprehensive load forecasting of integrated energy distribution system.