Ultra-short-term Photovoltaic Power Prediction Method Based on Satellite Image Feature Region Positioning
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Ultra-short-term Photovoltaic Power Prediction Method Based on Satellite Image Feature Region Positioning
Vol. 47, Issue 4, Pages: 1214-1223(2021)
作者机构:
山东大学电气工程学院
作者简介:
基金信息:
DOI:
CLC:
Published Online:30 April 2021,
Published:2021
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SI Zhiyuan, YANG Ming, YU Yixiao, et al. Ultra-short-term Photovoltaic Power Prediction Method Based on Satellite Image Feature Region Positioning[J]. 2021, 47(4): 1214-1223.
DOI:
SI Zhiyuan, YANG Ming, YU Yixiao, et al. Ultra-short-term Photovoltaic Power Prediction Method Based on Satellite Image Feature Region Positioning[J]. 2021, 47(4): 1214-1223.DOI:
Ultra-short-term Photovoltaic Power Prediction Method Based on Satellite Image Feature Region Positioning
The information in satellite visible images can be used to quantify the cloud movement and thickness
and it has been gradually applied to the field of photovoltaic power prediction. To solve the problem that the selection of formula parameters in satellite cloud image processing is mostly based on artificial experiences
we proposed a general selection method of empirical parameters. On this basis
we established an ultra-short-term photovoltaic power prediction model considering the satellite image feature region positioning
aiming to accurately realize the cloud region localization of blocking the sunlight. Firstly
the satellites visible images need to be standardized and bottom-removed to remove the intraday difference of satellite visible images. Then
based on the feature region positioning algorithm
the occlusion region in the satellite images is located in real time
and the influencing characteristics of cloud occlusion are obtained through the convolutional neural network. Finally
the cloud occlusion characteristics are fused with other influencing factors
and the mapping relationship with photovoltaic power is established to achieve the prediction. The results show that the proposed model can be adopted to effectively solve the problem of intraday difference of the satellite visible images and can realize the accurate positioning of the cloud feature area
and the model shows better prediction performance. The research in this paper can provide a reference for photovoltaic prediction based on cloud images.