窦飞, 刘国静, 吴垠, 张华鲁, 马斌. 考虑需求不确定性的电网综合能源配置优化研究[J]. 电网与清洁能源, 2022, 38(3): 55-60.
引用本文: 窦飞, 刘国静, 吴垠, 张华鲁, 马斌. 考虑需求不确定性的电网综合能源配置优化研究[J]. 电网与清洁能源, 2022, 38(3): 55-60.
DOU Fei, LIU Guojing, WU Yin, ZHANG Hualu, MA Bin. A Study on Comprehensive Energy Allocation Optimization of Power Grid Considering Demand Uncertainty[J]. Power system and Clean Energy, 2022, 38(3): 55-60.
Citation: DOU Fei, LIU Guojing, WU Yin, ZHANG Hualu, MA Bin. A Study on Comprehensive Energy Allocation Optimization of Power Grid Considering Demand Uncertainty[J]. Power system and Clean Energy, 2022, 38(3): 55-60.

考虑需求不确定性的电网综合能源配置优化研究

A Study on Comprehensive Energy Allocation Optimization of Power Grid Considering Demand Uncertainty

  • 摘要: 为提高电网能源利用的充分性,确保电网持续发展,以需求不确定性为基础,提出电网综合能源配置优化方法。利用基本概率分布区间,量化认知不确定性的需求变量。采用概率密度函数指代随机不确定性的需求变量,通过分割离散概率密度函数,令其表征方式与认知不确定变量的表征形式相同。引用笛卡尔积运算构建联合概率区间,分析混合不确定性的需求变量关系。设立全周期投资成本与运行成本为配置优化目标,利用交替方向乘子算法将增广拉格朗日函数分解成两个配置优化目标,迭代优化不确定性需求变量配置。实例验证分析中,经电能资源、弃风量与日常规费用优化结果的检验,所提方法使网综合能源充分互补,使资源得以高效利用,具有良好的经济性优化能力。

     

    Abstract: In order to improve the sufficiency of power grid energy utilization and ensure the sustainable development of power grids, this paper proposes a comprehensive energy allocation optimization method based on demand uncertainty.The basic probability distribution interval is used to quantify the demand variable of cognitive uncertainty,and the probability density function is used to refer to the demand variable of random uncertainty,and by dividing the discrete probability density function,its representation method is made the same as the representation form of the cognitive uncertainty variable. The Cartesian product operation is used to construct a joint probability interval, and the relationship between demand variables with mixed uncertainties is analyzed. The full-cycle investment cost and operating cost are set as the configuration optimization goals,and the augmented Lagrangian function is decomposed into two configuration optimization goals by means of the alternating direction multiplier algorithm, and the configuration of uncertain demand variables is iteratively optimized. In the case verification analysis, the proposed method can make the comprehensive energy of the power grid fully complementary,the resources can be used efficiently,and it has a good economic optimization ability through verification of the optimization results of the electric energy resources,the amount of wind abandonment and the daily routine cost.

     

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