王博钰, 许小峰, 曹正, 谢枫, 田健, 陈彧辰, 刘敦楠, 马同涛. 基于多维度风险度量的代理购电多市场交易策略研究[J]. 电网技术, 2025, 49(3): 1032-1044. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2024.1016
引用本文: 王博钰, 许小峰, 曹正, 谢枫, 田健, 陈彧辰, 刘敦楠, 马同涛. 基于多维度风险度量的代理购电多市场交易策略研究[J]. 电网技术, 2025, 49(3): 1032-1044. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2024.1016
WANG Boyu, XU Xiaofeng, CAO Zheng, XIE Feng, TIAN Jian, CHEN Yuchen, LIU Dunnan, MA Tongtao. Research on Multi-market Trading Strategies for Agency Power Purchase Based on Multi-dimensional Risk Measurement[J]. Power System Technology, 2025, 49(3): 1032-1044. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2024.1016
Citation: WANG Boyu, XU Xiaofeng, CAO Zheng, XIE Feng, TIAN Jian, CHEN Yuchen, LIU Dunnan, MA Tongtao. Research on Multi-market Trading Strategies for Agency Power Purchase Based on Multi-dimensional Risk Measurement[J]. Power System Technology, 2025, 49(3): 1032-1044. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2024.1016

基于多维度风险度量的代理购电多市场交易策略研究

Research on Multi-market Trading Strategies for Agency Power Purchase Based on Multi-dimensional Risk Measurement

  • 摘要: 工商业电力用户全面入市背景下,未直接入市的工商业用户将由电网企业代理参与多时间尺度市场进行购电。为平衡代理购电成本与多维度风险,文章深入分析了电网企业代理购电所面临的多维度风险,提出了一种基于风险度量的多市场交易策略。研究考虑了舆情、保供和合规性等关键风险因素,在此基础上,通过代理购电风险性不确定因素场景模拟以及成本分析,构建了基于多维度风险度量的代理购电交易优化模型。通过某省份电网企业的实际数据开展算例分析,验证了模型的有效性和适用性。并且根据具体外部场景以及多维度风险组合方式,为电网企业代理购电的多时间尺度市场交易策略提供理论参考和技术支撑。

     

    Abstract: Under the background of industrial and commercial power users' full access to the market, industrial and commercial users who do not have direct access to the market will be purchased by the agent of the grid enterprise participating in the multi-timescale market. To balance the cost and multi-dimensional risk of agency power purchase, this paper deeply analyzes the multi-dimensional risk faced by power grid enterprises' agency power purchase. It proposes a multimarket trading strategy based on risk metrics. The study considers key risk factors such as public opinion, supply protection, and compliance, based on which an optimization model for proxy power purchase transactions based on multi-dimensional risk metrics is constructed through scenario simulation of risky uncertainties in proxy power purchase and cost analysis. The validity and applicability of the model is verified by analyzing the actual data of power grid enterprises in a certain province. It also provides theoretical references and technical support for the multi-timescale market trading strategy of power grid enterprises' proxy power purchase based on specific external scenarios and multi-dimensional risk combinations.

     

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