鲜于虎成, 黄显峰, 李旭, 李大成, 张艳青, 许昌. 基于水–光–荷模块分层协同搜索的风险调度策略[J]. 电网技术, 2023, 47(3): 908-917. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2022.1067
引用本文: 鲜于虎成, 黄显峰, 李旭, 李大成, 张艳青, 许昌. 基于水–光–荷模块分层协同搜索的风险调度策略[J]. 电网技术, 2023, 47(3): 908-917. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2022.1067
XIANYU Hucheng, HUANG Xianfeng, LI Xu, LI Dacheng, ZHANG Yanqing, XU Chang. Risk Scheduling Strategy Based on Hydro-PV-load Module Hierarchical Cooperative Searching[J]. Power System Technology, 2023, 47(3): 908-917. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2022.1067
Citation: XIANYU Hucheng, HUANG Xianfeng, LI Xu, LI Dacheng, ZHANG Yanqing, XU Chang. Risk Scheduling Strategy Based on Hydro-PV-load Module Hierarchical Cooperative Searching[J]. Power System Technology, 2023, 47(3): 908-917. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2022.1067

基于水–光–荷模块分层协同搜索的风险调度策略

Risk Scheduling Strategy Based on Hydro-PV-load Module Hierarchical Cooperative Searching

  • 摘要: 多能互补是促进清洁能源并网消纳与提升电力调节性能的重要途径,多源接入规模加剧了决策与风险并存问题。该文旨在优化搜索维度,协调源–荷互动关系以应对能源消纳与调峰压力,并保障电站与机组运行可靠性。为此提出光–荷模块分层协同搜索策略。在外层,提出光–荷预测偏差的鲁棒特征,依据场景集合反演特征参数,计及光–荷模块多重不确定性的置信区间;在中层,结合源–荷调节平衡能力重构水–光模块,旨在支持系统出力调峰目标;在内层,引入中层电力重构的电量与波动特征识别机组运行风险区间,通过逐步优化机组安排与分区负荷转移,降低机组穿越振动区风险;以此建立层间目标跟踪与层内风险调控的动态协同搜索策略,形成光–荷不确定性下的发电决策空间。最后以澜沧江西藏段混合发电系统为研究背景,结果表明该策略相较于传统方法,在响应调峰目标的基础上有效降低了光、荷交替波动下的系统运行风险。

     

    Abstract: Multi-energy hybrid is an important way to promote clean energy grid-connected consumption and improve power regulation. The scale of multi-source access exacerbates the coexistence of decision and risk. The paper aims to optimize the searching dimension and coordinate the source-load interaction to cope with the energy consumption and peak load regulation, ensuring the reliability of the power plant and unit operation. Therefore, a hierarchical collaborative searching strategy of hydro-PV-load module is proposed. In the outer layer of the strategy, the robust feature of the PV-load prediction deviation is proposed. The feature parameters retrieval is carried out according to the scene sets, and the confidence intervals are obtained accounting for the multiple uncertainties in the PV-load module. In the middle layer, the reconstruction of the hydro-PV module is realized in combination with the source-load regulation ability to support the peak load regulation goal of the system. In the inner layer, the power quantity and fluctuation features in the middle-layer power reconstruction is introduced to identify the operating risk intervals of the unit operation. The risks of the unit crossing the vibration zone are reduced by gradually optimizing the unit arrangement and the load transfer. In this way, the dynamic cooperative searching strategy for the inter-layer target tracking and the intra-layer risk control is established to form the power generation decision space under the PV-load uncertainty. Finally, the mixed power generation system in the Tibet section of the Lantsang River is taken as the research objective. The results show that compared with the traditional method, this strategy effectively reduces the operation risks of the system under the alternating fluctuation of the PV and load responding to the peak shaving target.

     

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