孔德政, 张靖, 何宇, 滕飞, 秦袁, 王浩. 区域综合能源系统IGDT-MPC双层能量优化调度[J]. 电网技术, 2022, 46(10): 3970-3979. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2021.1794
引用本文: 孔德政, 张靖, 何宇, 滕飞, 秦袁, 王浩. 区域综合能源系统IGDT-MPC双层能量优化调度[J]. 电网技术, 2022, 46(10): 3970-3979. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2021.1794
KONG Dezheng, ZHANG Jing, HE Yu, TENG Fei, QIN Yuan, WANG Hao. IGDT-MPC Bi-layer Energy Optimal Scheduling of Regional Integrated Energy System[J]. Power System Technology, 2022, 46(10): 3970-3979. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2021.1794
Citation: KONG Dezheng, ZHANG Jing, HE Yu, TENG Fei, QIN Yuan, WANG Hao. IGDT-MPC Bi-layer Energy Optimal Scheduling of Regional Integrated Energy System[J]. Power System Technology, 2022, 46(10): 3970-3979. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2021.1794

区域综合能源系统IGDT-MPC双层能量优化调度

IGDT-MPC Bi-layer Energy Optimal Scheduling of Regional Integrated Energy System

  • 摘要: 针对区域综合能源系统因多重不确定性因素导致的能量失衡问题,实现具有鲁棒性的区域综合能源优化调度,将信息间隙决策理论(information gap decision theory,IGDT)的鲁棒模型和模型预测控制(model predictive control,MPC)相结合,提出了综合能源系统双层能量优化调度策略。上层利用IGDT对日前调度计划中的不确定因素进行建模,改善因源荷预测误差导致的日前调度计划与实际调度偏差较大问题,下层在日内采用MPC滚动优化,修正日前调度偏差,弥补IGDT开环控制的缺点。并针对IGDT难以处理多不确定性因素的问题,采用两点估计法(two point estimation method,2PEM)和Cornish-Fisher级数展开,将源荷多元不确定性转换为功率缺额的单一不确定性,提高了IGDT模型的求解效率。最后,通过算例验证了所提方法的有效性。

     

    Abstract: To mitigate the energy imbalance problem caused by multiple uncertain factors in a regional integrated energy system, this report proposes a bi-level optimal energy scheduling strategy that combines the information gap decision theory (IGDT) with the model predictive control (MPC). The upper layer employs the IGDT to model the uncertain factors in the day-ahead scheduling plan to reduce the large deviation between the day-ahead scheduling plan and the actual scheduling caused by the source and load prediction errors. The lower layer uses the MPC rolling optimization within a day to correct the day-ahead scheduling deviation and compensate for the shortcomings of the IGDT open-loop control. To support the IGDT in dealing with multiple uncertainties, this work implements a two-point estimation method and the Cornish-Fisher series expansion to transform the multiple uncertainties (in terms of the source and the load) into a single power deficiency uncertainty, which improves the solving efficiency of the IGDT model. Finally, the developed method is applied to a practical example to verify its effectiveness.

     

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