曾捷, 童晓阳, 范嘉乐. 计及需求响应不确定性的电-气耦合配网系统动态分布鲁棒优化[J]. 电网技术, 2022, 46(5): 1877-1886. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2021.1183
引用本文: 曾捷, 童晓阳, 范嘉乐. 计及需求响应不确定性的电-气耦合配网系统动态分布鲁棒优化[J]. 电网技术, 2022, 46(5): 1877-1886. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2021.1183
ZENG Jie, TONG Xiaoyang, FAN Jiale. Dynamic Distributionally Robust Optimization of Integrated Electric-gas Distribution System Considering Demand Response Uncertainty[J]. Power System Technology, 2022, 46(5): 1877-1886. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2021.1183
Citation: ZENG Jie, TONG Xiaoyang, FAN Jiale. Dynamic Distributionally Robust Optimization of Integrated Electric-gas Distribution System Considering Demand Response Uncertainty[J]. Power System Technology, 2022, 46(5): 1877-1886. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2021.1183

计及需求响应不确定性的电-气耦合配网系统动态分布鲁棒优化

Dynamic Distributionally Robust Optimization of Integrated Electric-gas Distribution System Considering Demand Response Uncertainty

  • 摘要: 需求侧负荷波动和天然气管存动态特性给电-气耦合配网系统的调度运行带来了较大挑战。针对需求响应不确定性和天然气动态特性,提出了一种机会约束与Wasserstein距离相结合的电-气耦合配网系统分布鲁棒动态优化模型。首先,考虑可削减、可转移、可替代3种需求响应负荷及天然气传输的管存特性,构建了确定性的电-气耦合配网动态优化模型。其次,针对需求侧电负荷、气负荷的不确定性,基于衡量不同概率分布之间Wasserstein距离的分布鲁棒方法,构建不确定变量的概率分布模糊集。由于传统的分布鲁棒优化未考虑不等式约束的不确定性,结合机会约束将含不确定变量的不等式约束成立的期望概率,限定在最低允许的置信水平之上,以提高模型的可靠性。最后,通过对偶理论和条件风险价值近似将所提模型转化成线性规划问题进行求解,在修正的33节点配电网和比利时20节点配气网组成的电-气耦合配网系统进行仿真实验,结果表明所提模型可有效降低运行成本,提高风电的消纳能力。

     

    Abstract: The load fluctuation and the dynamic pipeline storage of natural gas have brought great challenges to the integrated electric-gas distribution system. In order to solve the problems, this paper proposes a dynamic distributionally robust optimization model based on the combination of chance constraint and the Wasserstein distance. Considering three different demand response loads, i.e. the reducible, transferable and replaceable loads, and the pipeline storage characteristics during gas transmission, a dynamic optimization model of the integrated electric-gas distribution system with demand response is established. As for the uncertainty problems of the electrical and gas loads in demand response, the paper proposes a distributionally robust ambiguity set based on the Wasserstein metric of uncertain variables. Combined with the chance constraints, this model restricts the inequality to a certain probability confidence interval to further improve the stability of the model. The dual theory and the conditional value at risk approximation method are used to transform the proposed model into a linear programming problem. Based on the modified 33 node electric distribution network and the Belgium 20 node gas distribution network, the simulation results illustrate the proposed model can effectively reduce the comprehensive costs and improve the consumption capacity of the wind power.

     

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