盛裕杰, 郭庆来, 刘梦洁, 兰健, 曾泓泰, 王芳. 多源数据融合的用户充电行为分析与充电设施规划实践[J]. 电力系统自动化, 2022, 46(12): 151-162.
引用本文: 盛裕杰, 郭庆来, 刘梦洁, 兰健, 曾泓泰, 王芳. 多源数据融合的用户充电行为分析与充电设施规划实践[J]. 电力系统自动化, 2022, 46(12): 151-162.
SHENG Yujie, GUO Qinglai, LIU Mengjie, LAN Jian, ZENG Hongtai, WANG Fang. User Charging Behavior Analysis and Charging Facility Planning Practice Based on Multi-source Data Fusion[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2022, 46(12): 151-162.
Citation: SHENG Yujie, GUO Qinglai, LIU Mengjie, LAN Jian, ZENG Hongtai, WANG Fang. User Charging Behavior Analysis and Charging Facility Planning Practice Based on Multi-source Data Fusion[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2022, 46(12): 151-162.

多源数据融合的用户充电行为分析与充电设施规划实践

User Charging Behavior Analysis and Charging Facility Planning Practice Based on Multi-source Data Fusion

  • 摘要: 作为中国新基建战略的重要组成,电动汽车充电设施在近年获得了快速发展,但面临供需不平衡的难题。因此,亟须通过真实数据分析用户需求与行为特征,构建高效的公共充电设施规划体系,服务电动汽车发展。文中以上海市为实践案例,融合营运车辆轨迹数据、充电站数据、乘用车出行统计数据、交通路况数据、兴趣点检索数据等多源真实数据集开展了实践性大数据挖掘分析,旨在为现实充电站规划提供可行架构:从宏观角度对车辆用户群体的出行-充电行为与城市时空特征的关联进行了分析;从微观角度对车辆用户个体的行为偏好进行了建模,基于决策树模型实现了用户充电需求预测,并基于Huff吸引力模型描述了用户的充电站选择行为。在此基础上,对海量用户行为进行重构与仿真,建立了城市能源-交通融合网络仿真架构,从总体供需情况与个体服务质量等多维度对现有充电设施的建设进行了评估,提出了计及多重目标的未来充电设施扩展规划架构,为电动汽车充电设施规划提供了数据支持和决策依据。

     

    Abstract: As a key element of the new infrastructure strategy of China, the charging facilities of electric vehicles have developed rapidly in recent years. However, the development of charging facilities faces the problem of imbalance between supply and demand. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the user demands and behavior characteristics through real data and build an effective public charging facility planning system to serve the development of electric vehicles. To provide a feasible framework for the planning of real-world charging stations, by taking Shanghai as a practical case, this paper carries out practical big data mining analysis, which integrates multi-source real-world data such as service vehicle trajectory data, charging station data, passenger vehicle travel statistical data, traffic road condition data, and interest point retrieval data. From the macro-perspective, the correlation between the traveling-charging behavior of vehicle users and the city temporal-spatial characteristics is analyzed. From the micro-perspective, the behavioral preferences of individual vehicle users are modeled, where the user charging demand is predicted by the decision tree model, and the user’s charging station selection behavior is described by the Huff attraction model.On this basis, the massive user behavior is reconstructed and simulated, and a simulation framework of the urban integrated energytraffic network is established. The construction of existing charging facilities is evaluated from multiple dimensions such as the overall supply and demand and the individual service quality. Finally, a future charging facility expansion planning framework considering multiple objectives is proposed, which provides data support and decision-making basis for the charging facility planning of electric vehicles.

     

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