薛禹胜, 赖业宁. 大能源思维与大数据思维的融合 (二)应用及探索[J]. 电力系统自动化, 2016, 40(8): 1-13.
引用本文: 薛禹胜, 赖业宁. 大能源思维与大数据思维的融合 (二)应用及探索[J]. 电力系统自动化, 2016, 40(8): 1-13.
XUE Yusheng, LAI Yening. Integration of Macro Energy Thinking and Big Data Thinking Part Two Applications and Explorations[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2016, 40(8): 1-13.
Citation: XUE Yusheng, LAI Yening. Integration of Macro Energy Thinking and Big Data Thinking Part Two Applications and Explorations[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2016, 40(8): 1-13.

大能源思维与大数据思维的融合 (二)应用及探索

Integration of Macro Energy Thinking and Big Data Thinking Part Two Applications and Explorations

  • 摘要: 前一篇论文诠释了大数据及电力大数据思维。一方面将能源系统作为信息物理系统(CPS)概念中的物理系统,以打通电力系统与一次能源系统及终端能源系统之间的物理藩篱;另一方面,将专用网及互联网共同组成通信环节,打通调度业务与经营业务之间的信息壁垒。通过因果关系型、统计关系型及博弈等行为关系型的数据及相应的大数据技术,物理系统与信息系统融合为信息物理能源系统(CPES)。作为两篇论文的续篇按此观点探索电力(能源)大数据的应用,并通过若干课题的研究,归纳大数据技术对提高能源流在不同时间尺度及空间中的经济性与可靠性的作用与途径。包括:1在原本完全依靠统计分析的过程中加入因果分析手段,以提高前者的适用性与精度;2在原本完全依靠数学模型分析的过程中加入统计分析手段,以提高前者的效率;3综合应用模型分析、相关分析、行为分析与实验经济学仿真分析等手段,开创那些无法单独采用一种分析手段有效探索的研究领域,例如大能源系统与自然环境、社会环境、市场经济、政策等非能源环节的交互影响。

     

    Abstract: In part one of this series paper,the big data thinking and the macro energy thinking have been explained.On one hand,the energy system is considered in the context of the cyber-physical system,to break down the physical barriers among power system,primary energy system and end-use energy system.On the other hand,the private network and the Internet are combined together to constitute the communication system,to break down the barriers between operation and business activities.Thus,the above-mentioned physical and information systems can be integrated into a cyber-physical system,through causal data,statistical data,gambling data and corresponding big data technology.Along this direction,this paper explores the applications of power(energy)big data.Based on several topics that have been studied,the significance and approaches of big data technology in enhancing the economy and reliability of energy flow in different spatial and temporal scales are induced,which include:1 introduce casual analysis measures to topics that usually relied entirely on statistical analysis,to improve the applicability and accuracy;2 introduce statistical analysis measures to topics that usually relied entirely on casual analysis,to enhance the efficiency; 3 combine casual analysis,statistical analysis and experimental economics simulation analysis,to create a new research area of what a single analysis paradigm cannot solved,such as the interactions between the macro energy system and the natural environment,the social environment,market economy,policy and other non-energy sectors.

     

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