朱铮, 俞磊, 许堉坤, 蒋超, 张加海, 韩冬军. 基于改进GM(1,1)模型的智能电能表集抄数据二次出账研判[J]. 电测与仪表, 2022, 59(12): 178-183. DOI: 10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2022.12.025
引用本文: 朱铮, 俞磊, 许堉坤, 蒋超, 张加海, 韩冬军. 基于改进GM(1,1)模型的智能电能表集抄数据二次出账研判[J]. 电测与仪表, 2022, 59(12): 178-183. DOI: 10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2022.12.025
ZHU Zheng, YU Lei, XU Yu-kun, JIANG Chao, ZHANG Jia-hai, HAN Dong-jun. Research and judgment on the secondary out-account of collected data reading of smart meters based on improved GM(1,1)[J]. Electrical Measurement & Instrumentation, 2022, 59(12): 178-183. DOI: 10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2022.12.025
Citation: ZHU Zheng, YU Lei, XU Yu-kun, JIANG Chao, ZHANG Jia-hai, HAN Dong-jun. Research and judgment on the secondary out-account of collected data reading of smart meters based on improved GM(1,1)[J]. Electrical Measurement & Instrumentation, 2022, 59(12): 178-183. DOI: 10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2022.12.025

基于改进GM(1,1)模型的智能电能表集抄数据二次出账研判

Research and judgment on the secondary out-account of collected data reading of smart meters based on improved GM(1,1)

  • 摘要: 针对智能电能表集抄数据出账存在的若干问题,融合动态初值与新陈代谢建模思想,提出了基于改进GM(1,1)模型的智能电能表集抄数据二次出账研判方法。依次将原始数据序列中数据作为GM(1,1)模型的初值,推断出残差最小所对应的初值,进而可获得使GM(1,1)模型残差最小所需的数据维数,再利用新陈代谢的建模思想,建立改进GM(1,1)模型,将改进GM(1,1)模型应用于首次出账失败的智能电能表集抄数据二次研判,结果表明,相较最小二乘法与传统GM(1,1)模型,改进GM(1,1)模型具有更好的预测精度,更适合智能电能表集抄数据二次出账研判。

     

    Abstract: Aiming at several problems existing in the collected data reading of smart meters, combining dynamic initial value and metabolic modeling ideas, a method based on the improved GM(1,1) model for the reading and judgment of secondary out-account collected data reading of smart meters is proposed. Taking the data in the original data sequence as the initial value of the GM(1,1) model in turn, we infer the initial value corresponding to the smallest residual error, thereby, the data dimension required to minimize the residual error of the GM(1,1) model is obtained. And then, the metabolic modeling idea is used to establish an improved GM(1,1) model, and the model is applied to the secondary study and judgment of the collected data reading of the smart meter that failed in the first billing. The results show that, compared with the traditional least squares method and the traditional GM(1,1) model, the improved GM(1,1) model has better prediction accuracy, which is more suitable for the secondary out-account research and judgment of the collected data reading of the smart meter.

     

/

返回文章
返回