神瑞宝, 代贤忠, 蒋东方, 韩新阳, 鲁强, 靳晓凌. 日本家用燃料电池热电联供系统在中国应用的经济性分析[J]. 中国电力, 2020, 53(10): 74-79. DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202006049
引用本文: 神瑞宝, 代贤忠, 蒋东方, 韩新阳, 鲁强, 靳晓凌. 日本家用燃料电池热电联供系统在中国应用的经济性分析[J]. 中国电力, 2020, 53(10): 74-79. DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202006049
Ruibao SHEN, Xianzhong DAI, Dongfang JIANG, Xinyang HAN, Qiang LU, Xiaoling JIN. Economic Analysis of the Application of Japan's Household Fuel Cell CHP System in China[J]. Electric Power, 2020, 53(10): 74-79. DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202006049
Citation: Ruibao SHEN, Xianzhong DAI, Dongfang JIANG, Xinyang HAN, Qiang LU, Xiaoling JIN. Economic Analysis of the Application of Japan's Household Fuel Cell CHP System in China[J]. Electric Power, 2020, 53(10): 74-79. DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202006049

日本家用燃料电池热电联供系统在中国应用的经济性分析

Economic Analysis of the Application of Japan's Household Fuel Cell CHP System in China

  • 摘要: 分析日本家用燃料电池热电联供系统(ENE-FARM)的技术原理及推广应用情况,针对影响ENE-FARM经济性的因素较为复杂的特点,建立考虑设备价格、家庭年用电量、电力及燃气价格等因素的ENE-FARM经济性分析一般模型,引入盈亏平衡电价曲线分析ENE-FARM在日本和中国应用的经济性差异,并分别对2020年和2030年场景进行测算。分析表明:现阶段ENE-FARM在日本已具备应用经济性,但在中国尚不具备大规模推广应用的条件,可在海岛等偏远地区以及自然灾害频发地区试点应用;2030年,在设备造价逐步降低,居民电力及燃气价格体系逐步理顺的前提下,ENE-FARM系统在中国居民家庭中的应用将实现盈亏平衡。

     

    Abstract: Firstly, the technical principle of Japan household fuel cell CHP system (ENE-FARM) and its application are introduced. Secondly, in view of the complex characteristics of the factors that affect the economics of ENE-FARM, a general economic analysis model of ENE-FARM is established that takes into account equipment prices, annual household electricity consumption, electricity and gas prices and other factors. Thirdly, the break-even electricity price curve is used to analyze the economic differences of ENE-FARM applied in Japan and China, and a scenario analysis is made respectively for both 2020 and 2030. The results show that at present, ENE-FARM has the application economy in Japan, but has no conditions for large-scale promotion and application in China. It can be applied in remote areas such as islands and other disaster-prone areas. In 2030, with the gradual decrease of the equipment cost and perfection of residential electricity and gas price system, the application of the ENE-FARM system in domestic households will achieve a break-even.

     

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