基于Delphi+FA的海上风电场宏观选址指标体系构建

Construction of Macroscopic Site Selection Index System for Offshore Wind Farm Based on Delphi+FA

  • 摘要: 海上风电场宏观选址作为海上风电建设项目的前期工程,对风电场建设的成败及其今后的效益起着至关重要的作用。由于海上风电场宏观选址的研究在我国起步较晚,对于其指标体系的构建还不完善,亟需制定一套适用于国内的宏观选址指标体系。本文通过德尔菲法和因子分析法两个阶段,识别出评价指标清单,构建包含经济、社会、安全和环境四个方面的海上风电场宏观选址评价指标体系,并提出排除指标清单。为海上风电场选址问题的评价决策奠定基础,也给后来学者提供指标选取的参考。

     

    Abstract: The macro site selection of offshore wind farms, as a preliminary project for offshore wind power construction, plays a crucial role in the success or failure of wind farm construction and its future benefits. Due to the late start of research on the macro site selection of offshore wind farms in China, the construction of its indicator system is still incomplete, and it is urgent to develop a set of macro site selection indicator systems suitable for domestic use. This article identifies a list of evaluation indicators through two stages: Delphi method and factor analysis method, constructs a macro site selection evaluation index system for offshore wind farms that includes four aspects: economy, society, safety, and environment, and proposes a list of exclusion indicators. Laying the foundation for the evaluation and decision-making of offshore wind farm site selection issues, and also providing reference for later scholars to select indicators.

     

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