一种1000MW燃煤火电机组智能预警系统的研究与应用

Research and Application of an Intelligent Early Warning System for 1000MW Coal-fired Thermal Power Units

  • 摘要: 火电机组是一个多变量、多时变、强耦合的对象,相关状态参数关联耦合,相互影响,运行过程中存在着大量的延迟和惯性现象,传统的基于固定阈值判别的报警策略,在工况变化、现场出现扰动、与监测点关联的系统参数发生变化时,应当针对当前情况对报警阈值未能自发进行调整,使得报警判据更加科学合理,增加参数预警的有效性,减小误报率。本文提出了基于神经网络的多变量系统异常状态监测方法。利用神经网络算法结合机组历史运行数据,训练得到不同工况下监测参数模型。在进行预警时,将监测参数相关参数输入所训练模型,得到当前工况下待预警参数的演化趋势。随后计算待预警参数未发生异常的置信区间,进而对是否异常做出评价与判断,相较传统方式,能够更快的检测到异常。对提高火电厂同类空压机的运行可靠性具有重要的借鉴意义。

     

    Abstract: Thermal power units are a multivariable, time-varying, and strongly coupled object, with related state parameters interconnected and influencing each other. During operation, there are a large number of delays and inertia phenomena. Traditional alarm strategies based on fixed threshold discrimination should not adjust the alarm threshold spontaneously in response to changes in operating conditions, on-site disturbances, or changes in system parameters associated with monitoring points, Make the alarm criteria more scientific and reasonable, increase the effectiveness of parameter warning, and reduce the false alarm rate. This article proposes a neural network-based anomaly monitoring method for multivariable systems. By combining neural network algorithms with historical operating data of the unit, monitoring parameter models under different operating conditions are trained. When conducting early warning, input the relevant parameters of the monitoring parameters into the trained model to obtain the evolution trend of the parameters to be warned under the current operating conditions. Subsequently, calculate the confidence interval of the parameters to be warned that no abnormalities have occurred, and then evaluate and judge whether there are abnormalities. Compared to traditional methods, anomalies can be detected faster. It has important reference significance for improving the operational reliability of similar air compressors in thermal power plants.

     

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