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基于灰色理论的电网投入与关键因素联动模型研究

Research on grid asset input and key factors linkage model based on grey theory

  • 摘要: 在输配电价改革纵深推进的背景下,促进电网企业高质量发展势在必行,资源合理配置是实现高质量发展的必要途径。本文结合电网企业履行的“经济、社会、安全”三大责任,采用最小二乘法构建GM(1,1)和GM(1,N)灰色联动模型,探讨电网设备资产资本性投入和成本性投入与产出效果的关键因素之间的联动关系,预测未来投入产出值。灰色模型的建立能够辅助设备管理人员在资源分配方面的决策,为设备精益管理奠定基础,促进电网高质量发展。

     

    Abstract: Under the background of the in-depth promotion of the transmission and distribution price reform, it is imperative to promote the high-quality development of power grid enterprises. Reasonable allocation of resources is the necessary way to achieve high-quality development. In this paper, based on the three responsibilities of "economy, society and security" performed by State grid enterprises, the grey linkage model of GM (1,1) and GM (1, N) is established by using least squares estimation to explore the linkage relationship between the capital input, the cost input and the output effect of power grid equipment assets, and to predict the future input-output value. The establishment of grey model can assist equipment managers in the decision-making of resource allocation, lay a foundation for equipment lean management, and promote the development of high-quality power grid.

     

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